📊 MODEFENCE Market Sentiment & Return Report
Comprehensive quantitative performance, drawdown recovery, and seasonality analysis report.
CAGR
14.08%
Annual Volatility
27.64%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
CAGR & Volatility Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Analysis Duration (Years) | 2.09 |
| Total Return (%) | 31.77 |
| CAGR (%) | 14.08 |
| Annualized Volatility (%) | 27.64 |
| Sharpe Ratio (Rf=6%) | 0.29 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.45 |
| Max Monthly Drawdown (%) | -23.22 |
| Monthly Win Rate (%) | 53.85 |
| Win/Loss Monthly Ratio | 1.37 |
| Best Month Return (%) | 23.17 |
| Worst Month Return (%) | -14.23 |
Sentiment Streaks
| Streak Metric | Months |
|---|---|
| Max Consecutive Winning Months | 4 |
| Max Consecutive Losing Months | 3 |
Top Weekly Drawdowns (Peak-to-Trough)
| Frequency | Peak Date | Trough Date | Recovery Date | Peak Price | Trough Price | Drawdown (%) | Duration (Days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 2024-09-08 | 2025-03-02 | 2025-05-04 | 76.64 | 57.76 | -24.63 | 238 |
| Weekly | 2025-06-08 | 2025-12-21 | 2026-05-10 | 99.50 | 80.88 | -18.71 | 336 |
| Weekly | 2026-05-10 | 2026-06-14 | 2026-06-21 | 103.57 | 96.77 | -6.57 | 42 |
| Weekly | 2026-09-13 | 2026-10-04 | 2026-10-04 | 107.62 | 101.86 | -5.35 | 21 |
| Weekly | 2026-07-05 | 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | 105.30 | 100.73 | -4.34 | 35 |
| Weekly | 2025-05-04 | 2025-05-11 | 2025-05-18 | 78.11 | 75.62 | -3.19 | 14 |
| Weekly | 2026-08-16 | 2026-09-06 | 2026-09-13 | 107.46 | 106.05 | -1.31 | 28 |
| Weekly | 2026-06-21 | 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | 104.40 | 104.03 | -0.35 | 14 |
Top Monthly Drawdowns (Peak-to-Trough)
| Frequency | Peak Date | Trough Date | Recovery Date | Peak Price | Trough Price | Drawdown (%) | Duration (Days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly | 2024-08-31 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-30 | 75.23 | 57.76 | -23.22 | 242 |
| Monthly | 2025-06-30 | 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-30 | 96.36 | 80.27 | -16.70 | 304 |
| Monthly | 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-31 | 106.85 | 101.29 | -5.20 | 61 |
| Monthly | 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-31 | 103.09 | 100.73 | -2.29 | 62 |